Zheng Quan Zhi Xing·2025-08-08 04:40Core Viewpoint - The report by China Galaxy Securities on Hongfa Technology indicates a positive outlook for the company's performance, driven by improving demand across various sectors, leading to stable growth in revenue and profits. The company is rated as a "buy" for the first time. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 8.35 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 960 million yuan, up 14.2% year-on-year. The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 930 million yuan, reflecting a 17.9% increase year-on-year. The gross margin was 34.2%, down 0.54 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin remained stable at 15.3% [2]. - In the second quarter of 2025, the company reported revenue of 4.36 billion yuan, with year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter increases of 15.5% and 9.6%, respectively. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 550 million yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 13.3% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 34.5%. The gross margin improved to 34.7%, remaining stable year-on-year and increasing by 0.9 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2]. Market Demand and Growth Drivers - The overall demand in downstream sectors is improving, leading to a return to revenue growth for the company. In the consumer electronics sector, products like power relays and signal relays are benefiting from consumption promotion policies, resulting in rapid growth. The industrial equipment sector is experiencing a recovery in demand as major clients deplete their inventories, with expectations for continued recovery in the second half of the year [3]. - In the electric power sector, the demand for power relays is stable year-on-year, although it is expected to decline in the second half of 2025 due to a cyclical drop in smart meter installations in North America. The automotive sector is seeing rapid growth in low-voltage automotive relays, driven by domestic market expansion and increased market share of domestic brands [3]. Strategic Initiatives - The "75+ strategy" is being steadily advanced, with new growth areas being cultivated. In the first half of 2025, the low-voltage electrical market faced slight declines due to a downturn in the domestic construction distribution market and tariff impacts on overseas shipments. However, film capacitors grew by 31%, current sensors increased by 36%, and the ceramic DC fast fuse HPE509 received UL certification, with efforts to onboard benchmark clients and new customers [3]. Investment Recommendations - As a leading global player in the relay industry, the company has significant strategic advantages, with promising growth in high-voltage DC relays and strong cash flow from power relays. The company is also actively exploring new product categories and markets, indicating potential for future growth. Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 16.2 billion, 18.4 billion, and 19.9 billion yuan, with net profits of 1.8 billion, 2.1 billion, and 2.7 billion yuan, respectively. The expected EPS for these years is 1.3, 1.4, and 1.8 yuan per share, corresponding to PE ratios of 19x, 16x, and 13x [4].