ZPUG(SZ:000685) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-08-08 12:35Group 1 - The company is a public utility platform under the Zhongshan State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission, focusing on three main sectors: water services, solid waste management, and renewable energy [1] - Water services serve as the core business, ensuring stable revenue, with a water supply capacity of 2.65 million tons per day and a market share of 94%. A potential price adjustment of 20% to 30% could increase net profit by 120 to 180 million yuan, representing a 10% to 15% increase in net profit for 2024 [1] - The solid waste management sector is expanding through acquisitions, with a projected capacity of 6,120 tons per day by 2025 [1] - In renewable energy, the company is establishing joint ventures and Pre-REITs funds, focusing on distributed photovoltaic and integrated energy storage, with approximately 500 MWp currently connected or under construction [1] Group 2 - The company holds a 10.55% stake in GF Securities, contributing significantly to its profits, with an estimated net profit of 1.199 billion yuan in 2024, of which 1.008 billion yuan comes from investment income [2] - GF Securities is expected to see improvements in performance and valuation due to structural changes and a stronger market, which could positively impact the company's overall performance [2] - The company plans to implement a three-year shareholder return plan and promote equity incentives, with a special dividend payout ratio of 53% expected in 2024 [2] - Forecasted net profits for the company from 2025 to 2027 are 1.428 billion, 1.775 billion, and 2.072 billion yuan, respectively, with a reasonable valuation estimated at 18.3 to 19.4 billion yuan, indicating a potential upside of 29% to 36% from the current market value [2]