短期因素致制造业景气度下滑 暑期效应带动服务消费向好

Group 1: Manufacturing Sector - In July, the manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) decreased to 49.3%, down 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a contraction in manufacturing activity [1][2] - The new orders index fell into the contraction zone, primarily due to weakened external demand and adverse weather conditions affecting production [1][2] - The production index was reported at 50.5%, indicating continued expansion in manufacturing activities despite a decline from the previous month [2][3] - High-tech manufacturing PMI remained in expansion at 50.3%, showing resilience and strong growth potential in this sector [3] Group 2: Non-Manufacturing Sector - The non-manufacturing business activity index was at 50.1%, down 0.4 percentage points from last month, but still above the critical point [4] - Service sector activities showed stability, with a business activity index of 50.0%, reflecting positive consumer behavior during the summer season [4][5] - The construction sector experienced a slowdown due to adverse weather, with a business activity index of 50.6%, down 2.2 percentage points from the previous month [5] Group 3: Economic Outlook - Analysts suggest that despite short-term fluctuations due to weather, the foundation for economic recovery remains solid, supported by strong demand and policy backing [3][6] - The business activity expectation index for the service sector rose to 56.6%, indicating optimism among service providers regarding future market conditions [5] - Continued implementation of policies aimed at boosting domestic demand is expected to support investment and consumption activities in the second half of the year [6]