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Can Chipotle's Equipment Upgrades Fix Peak-Hour Bottlenecks?

Core Insights - Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) is investing in enhancing sales performance through innovative equipment aimed at improving culinary quality and efficiency [1][8] - The company plans to roll out a high-efficiency equipment package across more than 100 restaurants by the end of 2025, with a full deployment expected over three years [2][8] - The new strategy is anticipated to positively impact other business segments, such as catering, and position the company for long-term growth [3] Financial Performance - In the second quarter of 2025, comparable sales are projected to decline by 4%, and operating margins are expected to decrease by 150 basis points [4] - Despite recent underperformance, with CMG shares down 14.6% over the past three months, long-term trends are expected to improve [5][9] Competitive Landscape - Chipotle faces competition from CAVA Group, Inc. and Sweetgreen, which have seen their shares decline by 7.1% and 38.4%, respectively, in the past three months [6][9] - The company is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 4.38, indicating a premium compared to industry peers [10] Earnings Estimates - Earnings estimates for CMG remain unchanged at $1.21 and $1.42 per share for 2025 and 2026, reflecting year-over-year growth of 8% and 17.4%, respectively [12]