【环球财经】一周前瞻：美国7月CPI数据将揭晓，美联储降息预期或再受扰动

Group 1: Market Overview - The week from August 4 to 9 saw a significant focus on potential candidates for the next Federal Reserve Chair, impacting interest rate expectations and capital market trends [1] - Major global stock markets mostly rose, with the S&P 500 closing at 6389.45 points, up 2.43% for the week; the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.35% to 44175.61 points; and the Nasdaq increased by 3.87% to 21450.02 points [1] - The VIX index, a measure of market volatility, fell by 25.52% during the same period [1] Group 2: Commodity Market - Gold prices experienced significant fluctuations, reaching a historical high of $3534 per ounce before settling at $3458.2, marking a weekly increase of 1.72% [2] - Silver also performed well, with spot silver closing at $38.525 per ounce, up 3.53% for the week, while COMEX silver futures rose by 4.28% [2] Group 3: Economic Indicators - Upcoming U.S. economic data releases include the July Consumer Price Index (CPI), Producer Price Index (PPI), and retail sales, which are expected to influence Federal Reserve interest rate decisions [3] - The market anticipates a rise in July CPI to 2.8% year-on-year, up from 2.7% in June, with core CPI also expected to show an increase [4][5] Group 4: Federal Reserve Leadership - President Trump has nominated Stephen Moore to fill a vacancy on the Federal Reserve Board, with three main candidates for the next Fed Chair being Kevin Warsh, Kevin Hassett, and Christopher J. Waller, all of whom are seen as supportive of interest rate cuts [7] - Market expectations for a rate cut in September have increased significantly, with predictions of a total reduction of 100 basis points over the next four meetings [7][8]