This AI Stock Just Crushed Palantir's Rule of 40 Score. Is It a Buy Now?

Core Insights - Upstart achieved a remarkable Rule of 40 score of 123, surpassing Palantir's score of 94, with 102% revenue growth and a 21% adjusted EBITDA margin [2][3] - Despite strong performance, Upstart's stock fell due to a shrinking take rate, which decreased from 12% to 9% year-over-year [8] Company Performance - Upstart's transaction volume increased by 159%, with 372,599 loans approved and a conversion rate rising to 23.9% from 15.2% [5] - Revenue from fees rose by 84% to $241 million, contributing to total revenue of $257.3 million, exceeding analyst estimates of $225.4 million [6] - The company reported an adjusted EBITDA profit of $53.1 million, a significant turnaround from a loss of $9.3 million, and a GAAP profit of $5.6 million, or $0.40 per share, compared to a loss of $0.17 [6][7] Market Outlook - Upstart raised its full-year forecast and third-quarter projections, indicating strong future performance [7] - The company is expanding into the super prime loan market, which may affect the take rate but could lead to lower risk and default rates [8][9] - Auto loan originations surged over sixfold to $114 million, while home loans increased ninefold to $68 million, suggesting significant growth potential in these markets [9][10] Investment Consideration - The recent sell-off in Upstart's stock may present a buying opportunity due to its rapid growth, improving profitability, and expansion into home and auto loan markets [11]