Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao·2025-08-10 21:15Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing active trading, particularly in leading broad-based ETFs, with significant fluctuations in holdings of major stocks like SMIC, reflecting the impact of fund inflows and outflows [1][2][3]. Group 1: ETF Holdings and Performance - The Huaxia SSE STAR 50 ETF increased its holdings in SMIC by 399,200 shares on July 11, but subsequently reduced its holdings by 651,800 shares on August 1 [1][2]. - From July 12 to August 1, the Huaxia SSE STAR 50 ETF rose by 4.20%, while experiencing a net outflow of over 3.1 billion yuan, ranking third among all ETFs in terms of outflows [3]. - As of July 31, SMIC was the largest weighted stock in the STAR 50 Index, with a weight of 10.09%, and the ETF held a market value of 8.44 billion yuan in SMIC shares, the highest in the market [3]. Group 2: SMIC's Financial Performance - SMIC reported a revenue of 2.209 billion USD for Q2 2025, a 1.7% decrease quarter-on-quarter but a 16.2% increase year-on-year, with a gross margin of 20.4% [4]. - The company expects a revenue growth of 5% to 7% for Q3 2025, with a projected gross margin between 18% and 20% [4]. - SMIC's capacity utilization rate was 92.5% in Q2 2025, with an 8-inch standard logic monthly capacity of 991,000 wafers, indicating strong demand that exceeds supply [4]. Group 3: Semiconductor Industry Outlook - The semiconductor cycle is currently in an upward trend, driven by strong growth in AI and a recovery in the industrial sector [5][6]. - AI is expected to be the primary growth driver for the semiconductor industry, with increasing demand from cloud AI and accelerating terminal AI applications [6]. Group 4: Passive Investment Trends - Passive investment, particularly through ETFs, is gaining significant influence, with leading broad-based ETFs becoming major shareholders in key stocks like SMIC [7][8]. - As of Q1 2025, four of SMIC's top ten shareholders were ETFs, highlighting the growing role of passive investment in the market [7]. - The market is witnessing a shift towards passive investment strategies, which are expected to play a crucial role in enhancing corporate governance and shareholder returns [8].