Core Viewpoint - The current market conditions present a favorable investment opportunity in the gold sector, driven by recent economic data and geopolitical factors [4][5]. Market Performance - As of August 11, the Gold ETF (159937) experienced a decline of 0.75% with a trading volume of 270 million yuan. Over the past three days, there has been a net inflow of 276 million yuan, and the fund has increased by 3.84% in the last month [1]. - Spot gold prices opened lower, briefly falling below the $3,370 mark, and were reported at $3,376.10 per ounce, down 0.66%. The highest price reached was $3,405.21, while the lowest was $3,367.20. COMEX gold was priced at $3,441.20 per ounce, down 1.43% [3]. Economic Indicators - The U.S. non-farm payroll data for July showed an increase of only 73,000 jobs, significantly below the expected 110,000, leading to heightened expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [4]. - The anticipated rise in inflation due to tariff impacts is expected to further support gold prices, indicating a potential new upward trend in the gold market [4]. Geopolitical Factors - The upcoming international summit poses a critical juncture for Ukraine, where progress could reduce geopolitical risks and lower demand for safe-haven assets like gold. Conversely, any disagreements could increase demand for gold [3]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The global gold supply-demand balance is tightening, with investment demand expected to rise significantly in 2024. Domestic gold supply is projected to increase slightly, while demand is also recovering, particularly in investment [5]. - The long-term bullish outlook for gold remains intact, supported by central bank purchases and a weakening dollar amid ongoing global political and economic instability [5]. Investment Strategy - The Gold ETF (159937) and its linked funds offer a low-cost, diversified investment option in gold, with features such as T+0 trading. The long-term value of gold as a hedge against economic downturns is emphasized [5].
“金条关税”传闻引波澜，黄金价格波动
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-08-11 05:55