Group 1 - The average capacity utilization rate of major global foundries is approximately 82% in Q2 2025, reflecting an increase of about 8 percentage points year-on-year, driven by tariff risk factors and strong downstream demand [1] - The demand for 8-inch wafers has significantly rebounded, with major foundries expected to see steady increases in shipment volumes and capacity utilization rates in the first half of 2025, and further acceleration in the second half due to recovery in industrial control and automotive applications [1] - According to TrendForce, wafer foundry prices are expected to stabilize starting from Q3 2025, with a slight potential price increase for certain 8-inch applications in 2026 [1] Group 2 - The capacity utilization rate for 28/40nm processes in mainland China is expected to remain high in 2025, with projections indicating it will exceed 90% due to international clients shifting orders to establish local supply chains [3] - The 55nm process is showing signs of stable recovery driven by demand in automotive and medium-sized displays, while the 90nm demand remains optimistic; however, price increases are expected to be challenging due to the entry of more second-tier foundries in mainland China [4] - The 8-inch process is experiencing a significant recovery in capacity utilization rates, with major manufacturers like World Advanced and Huahong expected to see a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3-5 percentage points from Q3 to Q4 2025 [5]
群智咨询:预计三季度起晶圆代工价格有望企稳