AI原生客户加码云监控 但OpenAI不确定性仍未消散 大摩谨慎看涨Datadog(DDOG.US)
DatadogDatadog(US:DDOG) 智通财经网·2025-08-11 10:51

Core Viewpoint - Datadog reported strong Q2 earnings, exceeding Wall Street expectations, leading Morgan Stanley to maintain a "neutral" rating while raising earnings forecasts and a target price of $165, indicating over 20% potential upside in the next 12 months [1][2]. Financial Performance - Q2 total revenue reached approximately $827 million, a 28% year-over-year increase, surpassing the expected $790 million; adjusted diluted EPS was $0.46, also above expectations [1]. - For Q3, Datadog's management anticipates total revenue between $847 million and $851 million, with adjusted EPS projected at $0.44 to $0.46, both higher than Wall Street's expectations [1]. - The company raised its full-year 2025 revenue outlook by approximately $92 million, now expecting total revenue between $3.31 billion and $3.32 billion, with adjusted EPS between $1.80 and $1.83, exceeding the previous consensus of $3.24 billion and $1.70 [2]. Market Position and Client Base - Datadog specializes in cloud-native monitoring and observability, providing integrated cloud monitoring platforms for large software engineering, operations, and security teams [2]. - Major clients include industries with high demands for online stability and security monitoring, such as internet/software and IT services, media and communications, retail e-commerce, financial services, and manufacturing [2]. AI Integration and Growth Potential - Datadog is viewed as a "winner" in the global AI boom, integrating AI application software and core operations workflows into a large-scale cloud platform for monitoring and automation [3]. - The company has seen significant growth in its "AI-native" customer base, which now contributes about 15% of total revenue, with hundreds of long-term clients, including those spending over $1 million annually [4]. Competitive Landscape - The competitive environment is intensifying, with major cloud providers like AWS and Microsoft Azure enhancing their own performance monitoring and observability products, which may impact Datadog's growth and market share [5]. - Despite the competitive pressures, Datadog is expected to maintain a leading position in the observability cloud monitoring market, with a potential market size exceeding $35 billion [6]. Long-term Outlook - Morgan Stanley projects a compound annual growth rate of approximately 26% for Datadog's revenue from 2024 to 2027, with potential revenue reaching around $5.3 billion by 2027 [8]. - In a bullish scenario, the company could achieve a target price of up to $216, driven by sustained high growth and improved profit margins [8].