穆迪称美国超半数行业裁员

Group 1 - The chief economist of Moody's, Mark Zandi, stated that over half of the industries in the U.S. have begun layoffs, indicating a potential economic downturn [1] - Zandi emphasized that the official determination of the start and end of a recession is made by the National Bureau of Economic Research, which defines a recession as a significant decline in economic activity lasting several months [1] - Employment data is highlighted as the most critical single data point, with stagnation observed since May, and July's non-farm payrolls adding only 73,000 jobs, significantly below the expected 110,000 [1] Group 2 - The unemployment rate in the U.S. rose by 0.1 percentage points to 4.2% in July, with substantial downward revisions to previous months' job additions [1] - Zandi noted that over 53% of industries are currently laying off workers, with only the healthcare sector showing significant job growth [1] - A report from JPMorgan indicated that private sector hiring has averaged 52,000 over the past three months, with hiring stagnating in all sectors except healthcare and education, signaling a warning for economic recession [2]