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中泰国际:中报业绩期将集中验证基本面,市场有理由高位整固
Jin Rong Jie·2025-08-12 02:37

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market is currently in a high-level consolidation phase, with trading volume decreasing to HKD 200.9 billion, indicating a rise in cautious sentiment among investors [1] - The valuation of Hong Kong stocks has significantly recovered in the short term, with the Hang Seng Index's forecast PE returning to the mid-point of 2018-2019, and the risk premium at historical lows, while the AH premium has reached a nearly six-year low [1] - August marks a seasonal downturn for Hong Kong stocks, and the upcoming concentrated earnings reports will validate the fundamentals, providing reasons for the market to consolidate at high levels [1] Group 2 - The upstream resource sector is expected to see continued profit elasticity due to supply contraction driven by anti-involution policies [1] - In the technology and consumer sectors, attention should be paid to self-controllable areas such as semiconductors and AI computing power, as well as beneficiaries of fertility subsidies, including maternal and infant care and local living services [1]