美国贸易逆差收窄至860亿 美元资产吸引力增强

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights a significant reduction in the U.S. trade deficit, which has narrowed by 10.8% to $86 billion, the lowest level since September 2023, primarily due to a 4.2% decrease in imports, indicating a cooling domestic demand [1] Economic Indicators - The narrowing trade deficit is expected to lessen the drag of net exports on economic growth, contributing to a more optimistic outlook for the U.S. economy [1] - Economists have raised their GDP growth forecast for the second quarter from 2.4% to 2.9% following the positive trade data [1] Market Implications - The positive economic outlook is providing strong support for the U.S. dollar, enhancing investor confidence in dollar-denominated assets [1] - Analysts suggest that the dollar index is likely to maintain a relatively strong performance in light of improving economic fundamentals [1] Technical Analysis - Short-term resistance levels for the dollar index are identified at 98.75-98.80 and 99.00-99.05, while support levels are at 98.40-98.45 and 98.15-98.20 [1] - A trading strategy is proposed to buy within the range of 99.05-98.15, with a stop loss of 30 points and a target at the upper limit of the range [1]