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北鼎股份(300824):内销显著受益于国补 外销平稳增长

Core Viewpoint - Beiding Co., Ltd. reported strong financial performance for the first half of 2025, with significant year-on-year growth in both revenue and net profit, driven by domestic consumption policies and product innovation [1][4]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, Beiding achieved revenue of 430 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 34.0%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 60 million yuan, up 74.9% year-on-year [1]. - For Q2 2025, the company recorded revenue of 220 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 34.7%, and a net profit of 20 million yuan, which is a remarkable increase of 140.9% year-on-year [1]. Sales Performance - Domestic sales in Q2 increased significantly, with a year-on-year growth of 45.5%, driven by government subsidies and the introduction of new products such as electric cookers and rice cookers [1]. - External sales also showed recovery, with a year-on-year increase of 9.9% in Q2, where brand business revenue grew by 0.8% and OEM business revenue increased by 13.2% [1]. Profitability Improvement - The net profit margin for Q2 was 10.2%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 4.5 percentage points, attributed to effective cost optimization measures and an increase in the proportion of high-margin brand business [2]. - The company experienced a reduction in expense ratios, with management, R&D, and sales expense ratios decreasing by 3.3%, 1.7%, and 0.5% year-on-year, respectively [2]. Cash Flow and Inventory - Operating cash flow for Q2 was negative at -16.27 million yuan, a significant decrease from a positive cash flow of 9.35 million yuan in the same period last year, primarily due to increased cash payments for inventory [3]. - The company's inventory at the end of Q2 was 160 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 30.4% [3]. Investment Outlook - Beiding's positioning in the mid-to-high-end market is expected to benefit from ongoing government subsidy policies, with continuous product expansion and brand development anticipated to drive further improvements in operational performance [4]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 0.33, 0.42, and 0.52 yuan, respectively, with a maintained buy rating and a target price of 14.99 yuan based on a 45 times dynamic price-to-earnings ratio for 2025 [4].