现金流ETF火热竞逐，各现金流指数差异在哪？关注现金流ETF（159399）投资机会

Core Viewpoint - Cash flow ETFs have become popular in overseas markets, and domestic products are seeing a surge in applications. The domestic free cash flow products are still in their infancy, while overseas cash flow products have achieved significant development results. The combination of "large and medium market capitalization + central state-owned enterprises + abundant cash flow" is expected to be one of the main investment themes for the year [1][7]. Group 1: Market Trends - The investment activity cash flow out of small-cap stocks has significantly decreased quarter-on-quarter in Q1 2025, while the cash flow out of large-cap stocks has been steadily increasing since June 2021. Future policies aimed at market capitalization management are expected to enhance the profitability of central state-owned enterprises [1]. - The domestic free cash flow index is still emerging, with various indices showing different characteristics. The FTSE China A-Share Free Cash Flow Focus Index has a more detailed selection space compared to similar indices like the National Securities Cash Flow Index and the CSI Cash Flow Index [1]. Group 2: Index Performance - The FTSE cash flow component stocks show a prominent large and medium market capitalization style, with 18% of stocks having a total market capitalization exceeding 100 billion. This higher market capitalization level and the inclusion of central state-owned enterprises make the FTSE cash flow index relatively resilient during market corrections [2]. - Since the base date (December 31, 2013), the FTSE cash flow index has shown smaller declines during market corrections compared to similar cash flow indices and the CSI Dividend Index [2]. Group 3: Risk-Return Analysis - Among the three cash flow indices, the FTSE cash flow index has a lower correlation with traditional styles, achieving the highest risk-return ratio of 0.85 as of July 18, 2025, compared to 0.63 for the CSI Dividend Index and 0.68 for the low-volatility dividend index [4][5]. - The FTSE cash flow index can effectively diversify risk and provide differentiated allocation in the context of increased institutional investment in actively managed equity funds due to their high elasticity [5]. Group 4: Investment Strategy - The FTSE cash flow index focuses on large and medium-cap stocks, utilizing free cash flow yield as a selection factor to enhance returns. It also incorporates quality and low volatility factors to further filter high-quality cash flow companies, thereby improving the index's risk resistance and long-term holding value [6][7]. - The cash flow ETF (159399) closely tracks the FTSE China A-Share Free Cash Flow Focus Index, selecting a group of "cash cow" companies in the A-share market, laying a solid foundation for long-term investment returns [7].