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中金:7月高基数上乘用车零售增速放缓 期待新车表现
智通财经网·2025-08-12 09:09

Core Viewpoint - The retail growth rate of the passenger car market slowed down in July, with automakers actively reducing inventory, while the penetration rate of new energy vehicles remained stable at a high level of 53.2% [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - In July, the retail sales of narrow passenger cars reached 1.826 million units, a month-on-month decrease of 12.4% and a year-on-year increase of 6.3% [1][2]. - Wholesale sales were 2.221 million units, down 10.8% month-on-month and up 13.0% year-on-year [1][2]. - The production of narrow passenger cars was 2.229 million units, reflecting a month-on-month decrease of 7.1% and a year-on-year increase of 12.1% [2]. Group 2: New Energy Vehicle Insights - New energy vehicle exports surged by 120% year-on-year to 213,000 units, accounting for 44.7% of total exports, marking a significant growth driver [1][3]. - The wholesale volume of new energy passenger cars in July was 1.181 million units, with a month-on-month increase of 24% and a year-on-year decrease of 5% [4]. - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles increased by 5 percentage points month-on-month to 53.2% [4]. Group 3: Policy and Market Dynamics - The third batch of 69 billion yuan for the old-for-new policy is expected to alleviate sales pressure in the third quarter [1][5]. - The market is experiencing a reduction in price competition and promotional activities, which may stabilize the industry [5]. - New models have been launched, contributing to market dynamics, with notable sales from brands like Li Auto and XPeng [5]. Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The company suggests focusing on automakers such as Li Auto, Geely, Leap Motor, and Great Wall Motors, as well as parts suppliers like Fuyao Glass and New Spring [6].