Core Viewpoint - The upcoming release of the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data is generating significant concern regarding the reliability of economic data due to budget cuts and staffing shortages at the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) [3][4]. Economic Indicators - The market anticipates a modest increase in the July CPI, with a projected month-over-month rise of 0.2% and a core CPI increase of 0.3%, which would be the largest in six months [3]. - The BLS has suspended data collection in certain areas, including Nebraska, Utah, and one city in New York, citing the need to match survey workload with resource levels [3][4]. Data Collection Issues - Approximately 15% of sample data collection has been paused in 72 other regions, affecting the investigation of prices for goods and services, as well as housing rent data [4]. - The BLS is increasingly relying on estimated data to fill gaps, which introduces potential uncertainty into the CPI report [4]. Silver Market Analysis - After five consecutive days of price increases, silver experienced a pullback, with spot prices dropping below $38.00 [5]. - For silver to continue its upward trend, it must break through the $38.00 level and subsequently the 20-day moving average at $38.05, with key resistance levels at $38.47 and $38.50 [5]. - If silver falls below $37.50, it may test the 50-day moving average at $37.03, with further support at the July 31 low of $36.22 [5][6].
8月12日白银晚评:CPI数据质量充满危机 白银行情整体依旧上涨
Jin Tou Wang·2025-08-12 12:02