Core Viewpoint - The company anticipates a decline in revenue and profit for the first half of 2025 due to a sluggish market and falling coking coal prices, projecting revenue between HKD 11 billion and HKD 13 billion and profit attributable to shareholders between HKD 120 million and HKD 140 million compared to the previous year [1] Group 1: Market Environment Analysis - Coking coal prices continued to decline in the first half of 2025, influenced by oversupply and pessimistic market expectations, with an average price of USD 175 per ton, down nearly 40% from the first half of 2024 [2] - Domestic production in major coal-producing regions increased, while imports decreased by nearly 10% year-on-year, yet overall supply remained high [2] - The company's trade volume in the first half of 2025 decreased by no more than 10% compared to the same period in 2024, while the proportion of non-China sales in total revenue rose from approximately 23% to about 26% [2] Group 2: Supply Chain and Pricing Challenges - The coal export from Mongolia faced a "dual decline" in both volume and price due to low purchasing enthusiasm from Chinese end-users, with imports from Mongolia totaling 37.22 million tons, a decrease of about 5% year-on-year [3] - The price of Mongolian coal at the Ganqimaodu port dropped from CNY 920 per ton to a low of CNY 700 per ton, marking a maximum decline of approximately 24% [3] - The company's supply chain comprehensive service revenue decreased by about 14% year-on-year due to falling market prices, despite efforts to maintain market share and explore new product varieties [3] Group 3: Financial Strategy and Cash Flow - The company emphasized cash flow as a core strategic resource in a challenging market environment, achieving nearly a 300% year-on-year increase in operating cash inflow by reducing inventory and accelerating cash turnover [4] - Financing cash outflow increased by approximately 160% year-on-year, primarily due to the company's proactive debt repayment and efforts to lower financial leverage and costs [4] Group 4: Confidence in Market Resilience - The company expresses confidence in its ability to withstand pressures and navigate through the cyclical nature of the commodity industry [5]
易大宗(01733)发盈警 预计中期净利同比减少至1.2亿至1.4亿港元