美联储激进加息对我国影响有限——货币政策仍坚持“以我为主”

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve has raised interest rates by 75 basis points for the fourth time this year, bringing the target range for the federal funds rate to 2.25% to 2.5%, marking a total increase of 225 basis points in 2022 [1] - The rapid tightening of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve and the global shift towards monetary tightening may lead to capital outflows and currency depreciation risks for China, compressing the space for monetary policy easing [1] - Despite external pressures, China's economic resilience and long-term positive fundamentals are expected to support its ability to respond to external disturbances [1] Group 2 - The Deputy Director of the State Administration of Foreign Exchange emphasized confidence in mitigating the impact of the Federal Reserve's policy adjustments on China's cross-border capital flows, with expectations for a stable foreign exchange market [2] - China's economic recovery is anticipated to gradually stabilize, supported by robust international payment structures and higher levels of openness in the foreign exchange market [2] - The monetary policy in China will continue to focus on domestic priorities, maintaining a stable implementation to support the real economy [2] Group 3 - Domestic inflation is expected to remain moderate, contrasting sharply with high inflation in developed countries, allowing China to maintain an independent macroeconomic policy [3] - The tightening of the Federal Reserve's policy has led to a rise in the US dollar index, affecting other currencies, while the Chinese yuan has shown relative stability [3] - The stock market in China is expected to reflect domestic economic fundamentals, with the potential for Chinese assets to become a safe haven for global funds amid complex geopolitical conditions [3] Group 4 - Experts suggest leveraging the current period of moderate inflation and limited constraints from tightening policies in developed countries to expedite the implementation of growth-stabilizing policies [4] - Monetary policy should continue to play a dual role in both total and structural functions, focusing on supporting small and micro enterprises and vulnerable industries [4] - Attention should be paid to the balance between domestic and international factors, monitoring major developed economies' monetary policy adjustments and inflation trends [4]