6月LPR按兵不动 后续仍存下降空间

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has maintained the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) for both 1-year and 5-year periods, indicating a stabilization in economic policies and a gradual recovery in the economy [1][2]. Economic Policy and LPR - The 1-year LPR remains at 3.7% and the 5-year LPR at 4.45%, consistent with market expectations and previous rates [1]. - Experts suggest that the necessity for further economic stimulus is decreasing as the effects of existing policies begin to manifest [1][2]. - The State Council has emphasized the need for a balanced approach in macroeconomic policy, focusing on supporting market entities, employment, and price stability while avoiding excessive monetary expansion [2]. Market Conditions and Future Outlook - The overall economic situation has shown signs of improvement since May, with key economic indicators reflecting positive changes [2]. - Despite the recovery, there is still anticipation for additional economic support measures, particularly in light of ongoing downward pressures on the economy [2][3]. - Analysts believe that there is potential for a reduction in the 5-year LPR to support the real estate market and improve market expectations [3].