央行等量平价续作1000亿元MLF 业界认为本月1年期LPR仍存下调可能

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is maintaining liquidity in the banking system by conducting a medium-term lending facility (MLF) operation of 100 billion yuan and a reverse repurchase operation of 100 billion yuan, with unchanged interest rates, to ensure market liquidity remains adequate [1][2]. Group 1: MLF Operations - The PBOC's MLF operation this month is a rollover of the 100 billion yuan maturing amount, indicating a stable liquidity environment influenced by recent profit remittances and reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cuts [1]. - The MLF interest rate has remained unchanged for four consecutive months since a reduction in January, aimed at avoiding irrational depreciation expectations of the yuan amid tightening U.S. monetary policy [2]. Group 2: Economic Outlook - Short-term economic pressures persist, with the PBOC expected to maintain a flexible and moderate monetary policy to support the recovery of the real economy, focusing on structural tools to address specific weaknesses and promote domestic demand [3]. - The PBOC's recent measures, including lowering the mortgage rate for first-time homebuyers, reflect targeted adjustments in response to the real estate sector's impact on the macroeconomy [2][3]. Group 3: Interest Rate Adjustments - The LPR (Loan Prime Rate) is anticipated to have room for downward adjustment, particularly the one-year LPR, driven by lower market interest rates and regulatory efforts to guide deposit rates downwards [4]. - A reduction in the LPR typically requires two consecutive RRR cuts, with the recent cut being the first in this sequence, suggesting that further adjustments may be forthcoming [4].