Enphase Energy Falls 28.2% in Past 3 Months: How to Play the Stock?

Core Viewpoint - Enphase Energy, Inc. (ENPH) has experienced a significant decline in its stock price, losing 28.2% over the past three months, underperforming both the solar industry and broader market indices [1][8]. Performance Comparison - Other solar stocks, such as Canadian Solar (CSIQ) and SolarEdge Technologies (SEDG), have shown strong performance, with CSIQ gaining 14.1% and SEDG gaining 37.2% in the same period [2]. Factors Behind Weak Performance - ENPH's stock decline is attributed to weak demand, particularly in Europe, where international sales fell due to lower utility rates and policy changes [4]. - Higher production costs, driven by new U.S. tariffs on imports and reduced tax credits for residential solar projects under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, have further pressured profits [5]. Future Outlook - Enphase Energy is expanding its global footprint with shipments of its IQ8P microinverter to various countries and plans to launch the next-generation IQ9 microinverter [6][9]. - The company is also enhancing its battery storage segment with new products aimed at increasing energy density and reducing costs [6]. Financial Position - As of June 30, 2025, Enphase Energy reported cash and cash equivalents of $1.53 billion, with long-term debt at $0.57 billion and current debt at $0.63 billion, indicating a solid solvency position [10]. - The company has repurchased shares worth approximately $130 million in the first half of 2025, with an additional $268.7 million authorized for buybacks [10]. Revenue and Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates an 8.6% improvement in ENPH's 2025 revenues compared to the previous year, with positive earnings growth expected [11]. - Current estimates for the upcoming quarters show a decline in year-over-year growth for the current quarter and next quarter, but an overall improvement for the current year [12][13]. Valuation Metrics - ENPH shares are trading at a trailing 12-month Price/Sales (P/S TTM) ratio of 2.97, which is higher than the industry average of 1.86 [14]. - In comparison, peers CSIQ and SEDG are trading at significantly lower P/S TTM ratios of 0.13 and 1.55, respectively [16].