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中信证券:我国企业出海的三大新趋势将对出口增速形成支撑
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-08-13 00:20

Core Viewpoint - The report from CITIC Securities highlights the increasing demand for Chinese companies to expand overseas due to slowing domestic economic growth and ongoing trade frictions since 2015 [1] Group 1: Trends in Overseas Expansion - Chinese companies are transitioning from the 1.0 phase of overseas expansion, characterized by methods such as re-export trade, changing export destinations, relocating production capacity, and upgrading technology, to a 2.0 phase that emphasizes resilience and efficiency in response to heightened tariffs [1] - The new trends in overseas expansion include the normalization of re-export trade and diversification of regional layouts, which are essential strategies for companies to cope with tariffs [1] Group 2: Technological Advancements and Market Opportunities - High-tech products with rapidly increasing domestic production rates may create sufficient price advantages to mitigate tariff impacts, while traditional products can explore domestic gradient transfer and technology improvements to reduce costs and enhance efficiency [1] - There is a focus on actively expanding export markets in Belt and Road Initiative countries as part of the new strategies for overseas expansion [1] Group 3: Macroeconomic Impact - The three new trends in overseas expansion are expected to support export growth, with an estimated combined contribution of 3-5 percentage points to export momentum [1] - The report anticipates that China's exports may achieve a positive growth rate of 2.5% in the second half of the year [1]