Di Yi Cai Jing·2025-08-13 00:40Core Viewpoint - The article highlights that while the profit growth rate for Hong Kong stocks is expected to slow down in the first half of 2025, sectors such as retail, education, diversified finance, and gaming are anticipated to see continued profit growth [1] Group 1: Market Trends - The Hong Kong stock market is set to experience a concentrated disclosure of mid-year reports in late August, with a slight expansion in the A/H premium observed since the end of July [1] - The shift in A/H premium dynamics is expected to evolve from a simplistic investment approach based on H-share discount rates to a more multifaceted strategy that incorporates company fundamentals, chip structure, and historical discount percentiles [1] Group 2: Policy Impact - The ongoing "anti-involution" measures are projected to benefit certain sectors, particularly those facing overcapacity and price/profit pressure in the resource and service industries [1] - The market is anticipated to transition from liquidity-driven momentum to a phase driven by performance and policy validation, with mid-year earnings reports serving as a critical juncture for the continuation of the Hong Kong stock market rally [1] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - Recommended sectors include: 1) Direct beneficiaries of the "anti-involution" policies such as solar energy, rare earths, lithium, and express delivery, along with indirectly benefiting insurance [1] 2) High-growth sectors like pharmaceuticals and technology, where performance expectations are likely to be met and guidance may be upgraded [1] 3) High-quality leading enterprises with scarcity and stable performance are expected to undergo value reassessment in the context of a low interest rate environment in mainland China [1]