智通财经网·2025-08-13 01:52Core Insights - The report from China Galaxy Securities indicates a recovery in domestic excavator sales in June and July, with July's performance exceeding expectations, suggesting improved funding conditions and a positive trend in domestic sales [1] - Cumulative domestic excavator sales from January to July reached only 35% of the same period in 2021, indicating that the market is still in a relatively low range [1] - The report is optimistic about the continued recovery of domestic sales throughout the year, while also highlighting strong export performance due to high prices of core commodities and improved product capabilities of domestic manufacturers [1] Domestic and Export Sales Performance - In July, domestic and export sales growth rates were +17% and +32% respectively, both exceeding expectations [1] - Excavator sales in July totaled 17,138 units, a year-on-year increase of 25.2%, with domestic sales at 7,306 units (up 17.2%) and exports at 9,832 units (up 31.9%) [1] - The increase in domestic demand for small excavators was attributed to weather-related repair needs, while exports were bolstered by high mining activity in regions like Africa and Southeast Asia [1] Other Machinery Sales Trends - In June, various machinery categories showed mixed performance, with crawler and truck-mounted cranes experiencing high growth, while forklifts saw a significant recovery in domestic sales [2] - The sales growth rates for different machinery types in June included: crawler cranes +25.7%, truck-mounted cranes +39%, and forklifts +23.1%, while tower cranes saw a decline of -44.8% [2] Operating Rates and Global Demand - The average working hours for major construction machinery in July were 80.8 hours, a year-on-year decrease of 6.91%, with an average operating rate of 56.2%, down 6.72 percentage points year-on-year [3] - In June, there was a mild recovery in overseas operating hours for Komatsu excavators across four major regions, with North America and Europe showing slight increases [3] Future Outlook from Major Companies - Caterpillar expects a mixed outlook for its construction and resource business sales in 2025, with an increase in backlog orders, while Komatsu anticipates a decline in global demand by 0-5% for the same year [4] - Caterpillar's construction sales in Q2 2025 showed varied performance across regions, with North America and Europe expected to improve, while resource business sales are projected to decline [4] - Komatsu reported a 3% decline in global demand for April to June 2025, with significant drops in Japan and North America, but growth in Southeast Asia [4]