Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the recent CPI data has led to a decline in the US dollar index, increasing market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in September [2][3] - The July CPI data showed a slight month-on-month increase of 0.2% and a year-on-year increase of 2.7%, with core inflation rising 0.3% month-on-month and 3.1% year-on-year [2] - Energy prices decreased by 1.1%, while food prices remained stable, suggesting that the impact of tariffs is being absorbed by corporate profit margins rather than passed on to consumers [2] Group 2 - The market is betting that inflation will not accelerate sharply this fall, despite high tariffs, and that CPI inflation could even fall below the 2% target next year if the economy, particularly the job market, continues to weaken [2] - The dollar index fell to a near two-week low following the CPI data release, which met market expectations, providing the Federal Reserve with policy space to respond to weak employment data [2] - There is speculation that the Federal Reserve may cut rates twice more this year, fueled by ongoing criticism from President Trump towards Fed Chairman Powell [2] Group 3 - Technical analysis indicates that gold prices are showing signs of a potential rebound, with a focus on the 5-day moving average as a key resistance level [3] - The gold price is expected to test resistance around $3440, with support levels identified at $3337 or $3325 [3] - The market is closely monitoring the price action to confirm the validity of the bullish reversal pattern, with a need for gold to close above the 5-day moving average to strengthen bullish momentum [3]
降息在即美元危机临近 金价关注5日均线阻力
Jin Tou Wang·2025-08-13 03:12