核心通胀反弹沪银走势攀升

Group 1 - Silver futures are currently trading above $9,274, with a recent increase of 1.43% to $9,300 per ounce, indicating a bullish short-term trend [1] - The July core CPI in the U.S. rose by 0.3% month-on-month and increased from 2.9% to 3.1% year-on-year, surpassing market expectations, while the overall CPI rose by 0.2% and remained at 2.7% year-on-year, slightly below expectations [2] - The CME "FedWatch" tool indicates a 93.4% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in September, with a cumulative 50 basis point cut probability of 59.9% by October [3] Group 2 - The silver market is currently experiencing a high-level consolidation, with expectations of limited upward movement, targeting levels around $9,350 to $9,400 in the near term [4] - The inflation data suggests a structural upward trend in U.S. inflation, which may complicate consensus on monetary policy decisions within the Federal Reserve [2] - The service sector shows signs of increased activity, with notable price increases in airfares and medical costs, while housing costs have only risen modestly, providing a balancing effect [2]