Will Tapestry Stock's 74% Win Rate Hold After Q4 Earnings?

Group 1 - Tapestry Inc is expected to announce its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings on August 14, 2025, with analysts predicting earnings of $1.02 per share and revenue of $1.68 billion, reflecting an 11% increase in adjusted earnings and a 6% rise in sales year-over-year [3] - The company has a current market capitalization of $23 billion, with revenue for the past twelve months at $6.9 billion, operating profits of $1.2 billion, and net income of $860 million [3] - Historically, Tapestry shares have shown a tendency to rise post-earnings, with a 74% likelihood of an increase and an average one-day gain of 4.0% following earnings releases [3][5] Group 2 - The historical data indicates that there have been 19 earnings data points over the past five years, with 14 positive and 5 negative one-day returns, resulting in a 74% occurrence of positive returns [5] - The median of the 14 positive returns is 4.0%, while the median of the 5 negative returns is -3.1% [5] - Analyzing the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns post-earnings can provide insights for traders, particularly if the 1D and 5D returns show a strong correlation [6]