7月末中国M2同比增长8.8%

Core Insights - The People's Bank of China reported that as of the end of July, the broad money supply (M2) reached 329.94 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 8.8% [1] - The narrow money supply (M1) stood at 111.06 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 5.6% [1] - In the first seven months of the year, a net cash injection of 465.1 billion yuan was recorded [1] Loan Situation - As of the end of July, the balance of RMB loans was 268.51 trillion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 6.9% [1] - In the first seven months, RMB loans increased by 1.287 trillion yuan [1] - Household loans rose by 68.07 billion yuan, with short-term loans decreasing by 38.3 billion yuan and medium to long-term loans increasing by 1.06 trillion yuan [1] - Corporate loans increased by 1.163 trillion yuan, while loans to non-bank financial institutions rose by 235.7 billion yuan [1] M1 and M2 Analysis - The difference in growth rates between M1 and M2 was 3.2 percentage points in July, significantly narrowing from the peak in September of the previous year [1] - Experts suggest that the narrowing "scissors difference" indicates improved liquidity and efficiency in the economy, aligning with the recovery trend in economic activities [1] July Loan Performance - Notably, new RMB loans in July were recorded at -50 billion yuan, marking a rare historical negative value [1] - The chief macro analyst from Dongfang Jincheng attributed this to significant loan disbursements in June, which led to a substantial pre-emptive drawdown of credit demand in July [1][2] - When combining June and July data, the average new loans remained stable compared to the same period last year, indicating a steady performance in credit [2]