博斯蒂克坚持2025年降息一次,古尔斯比警告秋季会议“充满变数”

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve officials are divided on the need for interest rate cuts, with some advocating for maintaining restrictive rates while others show openness to rate reductions [3] - Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic believes a rate cut in 2025 is appropriate if the labor market remains stable, emphasizing the importance of avoiding hasty policy adjustments [1] - Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee describes the labor market as strong despite recent hiring slowdowns, attributing some of the slowdown to reduced immigration [2] Group 2 - Goolsbee expresses concern over rising service inflation in the latest CPI data, indicating that sustained increases could hinder the return to the 2% inflation target [2] - The July non-farm payroll report showed unexpected weakness, leading to deeper divisions among Fed policymakers regarding the necessity of rate cuts [3] - Some Fed officials, like Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid, prefer to maintain restrictive rates, while others, including San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly, are more open to the idea of rate cuts [3]