劳动者和企业的社保选择：一场寻求确定性的博弈

Group 1 - The new judicial interpretation "Interpretation (II)" by the Supreme People's Court aims to clarify the validity of agreements or declarations that waive social insurance, indicating that such agreements are invalid [1][2] - The interpretation is expected to pressure employers to correct their non-compliance with social insurance contributions, potentially leading to increased compliance and payment of overdue social insurance [2][3] - There is uncertainty regarding how many employers will rectify their practices and whether employees will cooperate with the payment of social insurance contributions, which may lead to a shift towards outsourcing or non-labor relationships [2][3] Group 2 - The recent trend of companies like McDonald's hiring retired individuals is linked to the avoidance of mandatory social insurance contributions, highlighting the importance of certainty in employment decisions [4][5] - Retired individuals who have already received pension benefits are not required to participate in mandatory social insurance, which may influence companies' hiring strategies [5] - Future regulations may provide retired workers with minimum wage standards and labor protections while allowing for voluntary participation in social insurance, emphasizing the balance between mandatory and voluntary contributions [5]