智通财经网·2025-08-14 01:29Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC indicates a positive outlook for Tencent Holdings (00700), raising revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 by 2% and 4% respectively, while maintaining Non-IFRS net profit estimates unchanged. The target price is increased by 17% to HKD 700, reflecting a shift in valuation to 2026 with a corresponding 20x Non-IFRS P/E ratio, indicating a 19% upside potential based on current trading at 17x Non-IFRS P/E [1] Revenue Performance - In Q2 2025, Tencent's revenue grew by 14.5% year-on-year to CNY 184.5 billion, exceeding CICC's expectations by 3.5% and market expectations by 3.1%, driven by strong performance in gaming, advertising, and FBS [1] - The gaming revenue in Q2 2025 increased by 22% to CNY 59.2 billion, surpassing both CICC's and consensus estimates by 5%. Overseas gaming revenue rose by 35%, while domestic gaming revenue grew by 17% [2] AI Integration - AI is enhancing various business segments, particularly in advertising where Q2 2025 revenue increased by 20% to CNY 35.8 billion, benefiting from AI-driven improvements in ad creation, placement, and analysis [1] - In cloud computing, AI demand is accelerating revenue growth, with enterprise service revenue in Q2 2025 expected to rise by 19% [1] Profitability Metrics - The gross margin improved by 3.6 percentage points year-on-year in Q2 2025, with VAS, advertising, and FBS business margins increasing by 3.4, 2, and 4.5 percentage points respectively [3] - Non-IFRS operating profit grew by 18.5% in Q2 2025, while Non-IFRS net profit increased by 10%, primarily due to lower-than-expected earnings from associates [3] Capital Expenditure and Share Buyback - In Q2 2025, Tencent's capital expenditure was CNY 19.1 billion, and the company repurchased shares worth HKD 19.4 billion, completing 46% of its annual buyback plan in the first half of 2025 [3]