金观平：中国经济顶住压力奋楫前行

Economic Growth and Resilience - China's GDP grew by 5.3% year-on-year in the first half of the year, ranking among the top major economies globally [1][3] - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has significantly raised its growth forecast for China, indicating strong economic resilience [1] Trade and Export Performance - China's goods trade exports exceeded 13 trillion yuan for the first time in history, achieving a year-on-year growth of 7.2% [4] - High-tech product exports increased by 9.2%, marking nine consecutive months of growth, showcasing the strength of China's high-end manufacturing [4] Domestic Demand and Consumption - Final consumption expenditure contributed 52% to economic growth in the first half of the year, highlighting its role as the main driving force [5] - The holiday economy, emotional economy, and other consumption trends are driving consumption upgrades, with a potential market scale of billions even from a 1% demand from China's 1.4 billion population [5] Innovation and Industrial Growth - The industrial added value of large-scale enterprises grew by 6.4% year-on-year, with equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing outpacing overall industrial growth [6] - Investment in high-tech sectors such as information services and aerospace manufacturing saw significant increases, with growth rates of 37.4% and 26.3% respectively [6] Macroeconomic Policies and Support - The central government has allocated 9.29 trillion yuan for transfer payments to local governments, representing 89.8% of the annual budget, to support development and structural adjustments [9] - Monetary policy measures have led to an 8.9% year-on-year increase in the total social financing scale, indicating strong financial support for the real economy [9] Reform and Development Strategy - The importance of building a unified national market is emphasized to counteract uncertainties in international trade [17] - Continuous reforms are necessary to enhance economic efficiency and address development challenges, with a focus on expanding domestic demand [17][18]