Group 1 - The automotive market in July showed strong growth driven by national consumption promotion policies, with a notable differentiation between passenger and commercial vehicles [1][2] - In the first seven months of 2025, total automotive sales reached 18.18 million units, with a cumulative growth rate of 11%, while July sales were 2.57 million units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 14.1% [5][21] - The performance of major automotive groups has shown significant differentiation, with companies like BYD and Chery performing well, while some state-owned enterprises lag behind [7][10] Group 2 - The passenger vehicle market is expected to grow by 13% in 2025, supported by policy factors, while the commercial vehicle market is experiencing structural growth driven by electrification [2][10] - In July, the sales of narrow passenger vehicles reached 2.24 million units, with a year-on-year growth of 14%, and the cumulative sales for the first seven months were 15.55 million units, reflecting a growth rate of 13% [14][18] - The sales of new energy passenger vehicles in July reached 1.19 million units, a year-on-year increase of 25%, with a cumulative wholesale volume of 7.66 million units for the first seven months, up 36% [21][25] Group 3 - The commercial vehicle market has shown a cumulative sales volume of 2.63 million units in the first seven months of 2025, with a growth rate of 6%, while July sales were 330,000 units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 17% [29][39] - The overall performance of the commercial vehicle market remains low, with a significant decline in 2022, but a recovery trend is noted in 2023 [29][31] - The bus market showed a cumulative sales volume of 430,000 units in the first seven months of 2025, with a growth rate of 20%, and July sales reached 70,000 units, up 32% year-on-year [33][35]
崔东树:7月乘用车零售减速 新能源车市场走势较强