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风险偏好双压 贵金属韧性显
Jin Tou Wang·2025-08-14 08:23

Group 1: Gold Market Overview - The gold market is experiencing intense competition with a delicate balance in price movements, as spot gold struggles to maintain upward momentum around $3,375, facing selling pressure [1] - Optimistic expectations regarding US-China trade relations and positive signals from US-Russia discussions are boosting risk appetite, which in turn suppresses safe-haven demand for precious metals [1] Group 2: Silver Market Performance - Silver prices continue to rise, trading at $38.58 per ounce, with a gain of approximately 0.28%, approaching recent highs [1] - The silver market is showing strong momentum, with potential targets at $39.00 and historical highs of $39.53, while a break below $38.00 could pressure bullish positions [4] Group 3: Federal Reserve Insights - US Treasury Secretary Becerra suggests that the Federal Reserve's interest rates should be 150-175 basis points lower, indicating a potential for a 50 basis point cut starting in September [2] - There is skepticism among analysts regarding the likelihood of a 50 basis point cut in September, with the need for a weak non-farm payroll report to support such a move [2] Group 4: Technical Analysis of Gold - The recent high of approximately $3,375 may act as a resistance level for gold, with potential upward targets at $3,400 and further resistance at $3,409-$3,410 [3] - If gold prices fall below the support level of $3,242, it may lead to further declines towards the $3,300 mark, indicating a shift towards a bearish outlook [3] Group 5: Technical Analysis of Silver - Silver prices have reached a three-week high of $38.65, with buyers clearing previous resistance levels and eyeing a test of $40.00 [4] - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates bullish momentum, but there is a risk of divergence in the MACD, which could lead to a decline if prices fall below $38.00 [4]