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建银国际:中国医药股估值虽高仍审慎乐观 予百济神州(06160)等“跑赢大市”评级
智通财经网·2025-08-14 09:35

Core Viewpoint - The investment bank maintains a cautiously optimistic outlook on the Chinese pharmaceutical industry, noting a significant average increase of 137% in Hong Kong biotech stocks since early 2025, driven by cash returns from innovative drug licensing deals and unaffected by upcoming U.S. tariffs [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The biotech sector has recently experienced some pullback due to disappointing sales figures from major companies in the first half of 2025, including Hutchison China MediTech [1] - Concerns have arisen regarding Trump's phased implementation of drug tariffs, which could escalate to 150% within a year and ultimately reach 250% [1] Group 2: Company Recommendations - The bank's top pick is BeiGene (06160), with a target price set at HKD 230 and a rating of "Outperform," citing strong performance in the first half of 2025 and an improved gross margin guidance despite U.S. tariff impacts [1] - CanSino Biologics (09926) is expected to report adjusted earnings of RMB 23 million for the first half of 2025, benefiting from revenue growth from its drugs AK104 and AK112, also rated "Outperform" [1] - The target price for Innovent Biologics (01801) has been raised by 10% from HKD 100 to HKD 110, with a rating of "Outperform," reflecting confidence in the company's projected 37% year-on-year revenue growth [1] Group 3: Focus on Innovative Drugs - The bank continues to pay attention to licensing deals for Chinese innovative drugs, with expectations of increased subsidies for high-priced innovative drugs, which may drive sales growth for companies such as Kintor Pharmaceutical (02171), Fosun Pharma (02196), WuXi AppTec (02126), and Kelun-Biotech (06990) [2]