Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-08-14 10:28Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that China National Freight's revenue has significantly increased by 37% from 2018 to 2024, while maintaining a stable gross profit of around 5.5 billion yuan [1] - The annualized growth rates for agency and related business revenue, gross profit, and operating profit are 6%, 7%, and 3% respectively, indicating steady growth [1] - The e-commerce business shows a rapid revenue growth rate of 28%, linked to the development of cross-border e-commerce [1] Group 2 - Nearly half of China National Freight's operating profit comes from investment income, primarily from the joint venture with DHL, which is a leader in service quality and timeliness [2] - The rapid rise of cross-border e-commerce presents significant opportunities for the global air freight market, although future growth may be impacted by slowing import and export trade [2] Group 3 - The company plans to transfer a 25% stake in a subsidiary, expected to generate approximately 1.793 billion yuan in investment income [3] - The issuance of a REIT is projected to increase the company's net profit by about 390 million yuan for the year 2025 [3] Group 4 - The profit forecast for 2025 has been raised to 5.2 billion yuan due to the stake transfer and REIT issuance, while 2026-2027 profit forecasts are set at 3.5 billion yuan each year [4] - The company maintains a "buy" rating despite industry pressures in shipping and air freight [4]