突传利空！AI产业链巨头，暴跌

Core Viewpoint - Coherent's stock plummeted nearly 20% in pre-market trading due to disappointing revenue guidance for the next quarter, despite reporting record revenue growth driven by AI data center investments [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025, Coherent reported a record revenue of $1.53 billion, a 16% year-over-year increase [1][4]. - The total revenue for fiscal year 2025 reached $5.81 billion, up 23% from the previous year [4]. - GAAP gross margin was 35.2%, an increase of 424 basis points year-over-year, while non-GAAP gross margin was 37.9%, up 358 basis points [3][4]. - Non-GAAP diluted earnings per share for the fourth quarter was $1.00, compared to $0.51 in the same quarter last year [4]. Market Concerns - The company expects next quarter's revenue to be between $1.46 billion and $1.6 billion, which is below market expectations, causing investor concern [1][4]. - The anticipated sale of aerospace and defense business is expected to generate approximately $20 million in revenue, which is not included in the next quarter's guidance [4]. AI Data Center Demand - Coherent's network business is benefiting significantly from the surge in AI data center investments, with data center revenue growing over 60% year-over-year [6]. - The company anticipates continued strong demand for 800G transceivers, with initial shipments of 1.6T transceivers also contributing to revenue growth [6]. Industry Outlook - According to LightCounting, the global Ethernet optical module market is projected to reach $10 billion in 2024, nearly doubling year-over-year, with a growth rate of around 50% in 2025 [7]. - Approximately 80% of market demand is driven by AI data centers, which are primarily supported by high-performance networks [7]. - The evolution of AI data center architectures is expected to sustain high-end optical module demand, providing long-term growth momentum for the industry [7].