刚宣布！暂停降息

Group 1 - The Norwegian central bank has decided to maintain the benchmark interest rate at 4.25%, aligning with market expectations, marking the first pause in rate cuts since an unexpected 25 basis point reduction in June [2][3] - The central bank's governor, Ida Walden Bache, indicated that the fight against inflation is not yet complete, suggesting that if the economy develops as expected, there may be 1 to 2 rate cuts by the end of 2025, bringing the rate to "slightly below 4%" [2] - Current inflation data remains high, with core inflation at 3.1% in June and July, significantly above the target of 2%, which limits the space for further rate cuts [3] Group 2 - The central bank's previous rate cut in June was the first since the pandemic, aimed at addressing inflation that, while easing, still exceeds targets [3] - External factors, particularly the Federal Reserve's potential rate cuts, are influencing the Norwegian market, with a high probability of a 90% chance of a Fed rate cut in September [3] - The Norwegian central bank is cautious about further easing, as additional cuts could weaken the Norwegian krone and may need to reserve policy tools to respond to worsening economic conditions [3]