State Street (STT) Up 6.2% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?

Core Viewpoint - State Street Corporation's Q2 2025 earnings report shows strong performance with adjusted earnings surpassing estimates, driven by growth in fee income and asset balances, despite challenges from rising expenses and lower net interest income [2][3][4]. Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share for Q2 2025 were $2.53, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.36, and reflecting a 17.7% increase year-over-year [2]. - Total revenues reached $3.45 billion, an 8.1% increase from the previous year, surpassing the consensus estimate of $3.38 billion [4]. - Total fee revenues increased by 6.8% year-over-year to $2.72 billion, driven by growth across most components [6]. Expenses and Income - Non-interest expenses rose to $2.53 billion, an 11.5% increase from the prior year, primarily due to higher costs across various components [7]. - Net interest income (NII) was $735 million, showing a slight decline year-over-year, attributed to lower average short-end rates and a shift in deposit mix [5]. Asset Management - As of June 30, 2025, total assets under custody and administration (AUC/A) were $49 trillion, up 10.6% year-over-year, driven by higher equity market levels and client flows [9]. - Assets under management (AUM) reached $5.12 trillion, a 17.1% increase year-over-year, primarily due to higher market levels and net inflows [9]. Shareholder Returns - In the reported quarter, State Street repurchased shares worth $300 million [10]. Future Outlook - Management anticipates generating $350-$400 million in new servicing fee revenues, with total fee revenues expected to increase by 5-7% year-over-year, up from a prior guidance of 3-5% [12]. - Adjusted expense growth is projected to be 3-4% for 2025, reflecting an increase from the previous outlook of 2-3% [13]. - The company targets a total payout ratio of 80% in 2025 [13].