不甘心落后中美，想突破发展瓶颈，欧盟报告盘点清洁能源技术家底

Core Insights - The European solar energy market is experiencing a slowdown, with a projected decline of 1.4% in new photovoltaic installations by 2025, marking the first drop in over a decade [2] - The EU's reliance on imports for solar components and the high manufacturing costs compared to China are significant challenges for the industry [2][3] - The EU's battery manufacturing sector is facing uncertainty, particularly after the bankruptcy protection filing by Northvolt, a key player in the market [3] Group 1: Solar Energy Industry - The EU's solar energy sector is described as a "zombie" industry, having lost its previous leadership in patent numbers and production to China [2] - Since 2020, solar technology costs have risen by 34.4% due to supply chain disruptions, inflation, and rising interest rates [2] - The EU's solar photovoltaic products are approximately 60% more expensive to manufacture domestically compared to Chinese imports, leading to weakened global competitiveness [2][3] Group 2: Battery Manufacturing Sector - The EU aims to achieve a battery manufacturing capacity of at least 550 GWh by 2030, but the recent bankruptcy of Northvolt raises doubts about this goal [3] - The demand for lithium batteries in the EU is expected to increase twelvefold by 2030 and twenty-onefold by 2050, highlighting the growing need for key raw materials [3] - Several battery projects in Europe have been paused or canceled, indicating a broader trend of stagnation in the sector [3] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Experts indicate that the EU is heavily dependent on China for clean energy technologies, particularly in solar and battery sectors [4][8] - The EU has strengths in high-end heat pump solutions and geothermal energy systems, but overall, it lags behind China in terms of integrated supply chain capabilities [5][6] - The EU's public R&D spending in clean energy technology remains high, but private investment is crucial for maintaining competitiveness [7] Group 4: Policy and Future Outlook - The EU has initiated policies like the "Net Zero Industry Act" to stimulate investment in clean technology, aiming for 40% self-sufficiency in clean energy technology by 2030 [9] - There are internal disagreements within the EU regarding subsidies for clean technology, which may hinder progress towards achieving self-sufficiency goals [9][10] - The EU's transition to clean energy is uneven across member states, with some countries advancing while others lag behind, creating uncertainty in the overall strategy [10][11]