Group 1 - The China Air Transport Association has released a self-regulatory convention for air passenger transport, emphasizing the need for industry self-discipline and prohibiting malicious competition aimed at excluding rivals [1] - The convention also calls for enhanced supervision of airline sales networks and agents, banning practices such as bundled sales and hidden charges [1] Group 2 - According to the "2024 Civil Aviation Industry Development Statistical Bulletin," China's civil aviation industry achieved a total transport turnover of 148.517 billion ton-kilometers in 2024, marking a year-on-year increase of 25.0%, with both passenger and cargo transport turnover exceeding 2019 levels [3] - Analysis from United Ratings indicates strong demand in the air passenger market for 2024, with domestic routes supporting the market and international passenger transport continuing to recover rapidly [3] - Despite increased capacity investment and soft demand for business travel, some airlines have not yet returned to profitability due to various factors including exchange rate fluctuations [3] - According to Xinda Securities, the industry has maintained high seat occupancy rates since early 2025, with low growth in domestic route capacity and a focus on increasing international routes [3] - The airline fleet's net growth rate is below 3%, leading to a relatively tight supply, while domestic route turnover has shown steady growth and international route turnover has significantly increased, nearly recovering to 2019 levels [3] - Xinda Securities also notes that while short-term capacity investment is high and demand needs time to recover, the sustained high occupancy rates indicate an improving supply-demand relationship, which is expected to drive ticket prices up [3] - The report suggests focusing on airlines such as Air China, China Eastern Airlines, China Southern Airlines, Spring Airlines, and Juneyao Airlines due to anticipated improvements in supply and demand during the peak summer travel season [3]
航空运输协会发布自律公约,券商看好暑运旺季供需改善