美国7月PPI超预期反弹，九月降息25BP概率仍超九成，机构称港股弹性或好于美股

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market opened lower on August 15, with the Hang Seng Index down 0.77% at 25,322.10 points, the Hang Seng Tech Index down 1.20%, and the State-Owned Enterprises Index down 0.81% [1] - The technology sector saw widespread declines, with cryptocurrency-related stocks also falling, while some biotechnology stocks experienced gains, notably Sino Biopharmaceutical, which opened over 285% higher on its first trading day [1] - The latest U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) for July was reported at 3.3%, significantly exceeding market expectations of 2.5%, marking the highest level since February [1] Group 2 - Guohai Securities indicated that the elasticity of the Hong Kong stock market may outperform that of the U.S. market, particularly in the TMT, energy, and telecommunications sectors [2] - The firm expects the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to fluctuate between 4.2% and 4.5%, reflecting a decrease in the safe-haven appeal of U.S. Treasuries compared to previous instances [2] - The Hang Seng Tech Index remains in a historically undervalued range and is highly sensitive to changes in U.S.-China interest rate differentials, suggesting it could benefit significantly from a loosening of overseas liquidity [2]