以旧换新政策持续显效，7月家用电器和音像器材类消费增长近三成

Group 1 - In July, the total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 3.7% year-on-year, a decline of 1.1 percentage points compared to the first half of the year [1] - From January to July, the total retail sales of consumer goods grew by 4.8%, a slight decrease of 0.2 percentage points compared to the first six months [1] - In July, the retail sales of goods reached 34,276 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 4.0%, down 1.3 percentage points from June [2] Group 2 - The catering revenue in July was 4,504 billion yuan, growing by 1.1%, with an increase of 0.2 percentage points compared to June [2] - The fastest-growing categories of goods in July were household appliances and audio-visual equipment, and home goods, with growth rates of 28.7% and 20.6% respectively, significantly outpacing the overall retail sales growth [2] - Analysts predict that with the gradual emergence of export downward pressure, domestic consumption policies will likely be further strengthened, including potential increases in the support amount for the old-for-new policy and the possibility of issuing consumption vouchers nationwide [2] Group 3 - The National Development and Reform Commission announced that the third batch of 690 billion yuan in special bonds to support the old-for-new consumption policy has been fully allocated, with plans to issue a fourth batch of 690 billion yuan in October [4] - The total planned allocation for the year is 3,000 billion yuan, indicating a strong commitment to boosting consumption [4] - Some economists suggest that consumption growth may slightly decline in the second half of the year due to high base effects and weakening marginal effects of the old-for-new policy [4]