Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao·2025-08-15 08:30Group 1 - Recent price increases in various chemical and industrial products have raised market concerns about the drivers behind this surge, its sustainability, and the potential for performance recovery among upstream and downstream companies in the industry [1][3] - Tungsten prices have reached a milestone, with APT (Ammonium Paratungstate) quoted at 300,000 yuan/ton, and both black and white tungsten concentrates (≥65%) surpassing 200,000 yuan/ton, marking a 45% increase compared to the year's low and exceeding the peak levels of 2011 [1][3] - The price surge began in late April, with black tungsten concentrate prices breaking through 180,000 yuan/ton by mid-July, and leading companies like Zhangyuan Tungsten and Xiamen Tungsten seeing significant price increases in their long-term contracts [3][4] Group 2 - Upstream mining companies are the biggest winners from the price surge, with Zhangyuan Tungsten reporting a 32.65% year-on-year increase in revenue to 2.406 billion yuan and a 2.54% increase in net profit to 115 million yuan for the first half of 2025 [4] - Xiamen Tungsten's revenue for the same period reached 931 million yuan, a 3.24% increase, with a net profit of 18.38 million yuan, marking a return to profitability [4] - Downstream hard alloy companies are facing pressure from rising raw material costs, leading them to increase prices for their products in response to the cost pressures [4][6] Group 3 - Analysts predict that the tungsten market may face a supply-demand adjustment due to tightening supply and softening demand from downstream enterprises, which are exhibiting a cautious attitude towards high prices [6][7] - The market may enter a period of adjustment if demand continues to shrink, necessitating close monitoring of annual production indicators and the progress of new mining releases [7]