澳元迎战降息风暴 能否守住0.6500生死关卡

Group 1 - The Australian dollar (AUD) has shown a slight rebound against the US dollar (USD), trading at 0.6510 with a 0.18% increase, as investors await key US economic data [1] - The S&P/ASX 200 index in Australia has reached a record high of 8939 points, driven primarily by the banking sector, with Westpac Bank and ANZ Bank hitting their highest levels since 2015 [1] - Baby Bunting's retail stock surged by 40.5% following better-than-expected earnings, marking its highest level since February 2023 [1] Group 2 - The US initial jobless claims fell to 224,000, below the previous value of 227,000, indicating a tight labor market [2] - The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a 92% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September, reflecting strong market expectations for a shift in monetary policy [2] - Australia's employment data for July showed an increase of 24,500 jobs, with the unemployment rate dropping to 4.2%, slightly below market expectations [2] Group 3 - The Australian dollar's technical analysis indicates a shift from bullish to bearish momentum, with the currency pair breaking below key moving averages [3] - There is a potential downside risk for the AUD/USD exchange rate, which may test the two-month low of 0.6419 if it continues to decline [3] - The short-term resistance level for the AUD/USD is at the 50-day moving average of 0.6500, with a breakthrough potentially leading to a bullish recovery [3]