Workflow
国联民生证券:我国船舶租赁行业全球份额持续提升 看好船舶租赁商后续发展
智通财经网·2025-08-15 09:33

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese ship leasing industry is experiencing steady growth, with an increase in global market share, driven by green transformation and the replacement of aging vessels, despite a slowdown in new orders and deliveries [1][2]. Group 1: Current Market Status - In the first half of 2025, China's ship completion volume reached 24.13 million deadweight tons, a year-on-year decrease of 3.5%, while new orders amounted to 44.33 million deadweight tons, capturing 68.3% of the global market share [1]. - As of June 2025, the total tonnage of China's operating leasing fleet reached 159 million tons, an increase of 4.55% from the beginning of the year, with a total of 21 million tons in hand orders, up 9.42% [1]. - The global share of China's leasing fleet stands at 9.30%, reflecting a 0.2 percentage point increase from the end of 2024, primarily driven by bulk carriers and gas carriers [1]. Group 2: New Orders and Deliveries - In the first half of 2025, the new ship leasing tonnage added by Chinese leasing companies was 9.4 million tons, only 35.7% of the total increase for 2024, mainly impacted by the "301 investigation" [2]. - Among the new ships, the proportion of new and second-hand vessels was 39% and 61%, respectively, with second-hand vessels increasing by 8.8 percentage points compared to 2024 [2]. - The share of operating leases in new ship deliveries rose, with financing leases and operating leases accounting for 71.7% and 28.3% of new deliveries, respectively, the latter up by 11.6 percentage points from 2024 [2]. - The total tonnage of vessels reaching maturity in the first half of 2025 was 5.4 million tons, only 30.34% of the total maturity scale for 2024 [2]. Group 3: Green Transformation - By June 2025, the proportion of energy-efficient vessels in China's leasing fleet reached 80%, an increase of 1 percentage point from the end of 2024 [3]. - The share of energy-efficient vessels in tankers and cruise/passenger ships saw significant increases, reaching 77% and 90%, respectively, with increases of 3 percentage points and 5 percentage points from 2024 [3]. - Globally, the share of energy-efficient vessels in the fleet was 51% as of June 2025, reflecting a 1 percentage point increase from the end of 2024, with slight increases across various vessel types [3]. Group 4: Age of Vessels - As of the first half of 2025, vessels aged 15 years and older accounted for 10.1% of the total tonnage, an increase of 1.5 percentage points from the end of 2024 [4]. - The shares of vessels aged 0-4 years and 5-9 years were 44.7% and 25.5%, respectively, showing decreases of 0.9 percentage points and 0.6 percentage points from 2024 [4]. - In the first half of 2025, 18.2% of newly added financing lease vessels were aged 15 years and older, up 7.3 percentage points from the end of 2024, while 7.7% of newly added operating lease vessels were in the same age category, which was negligible in 2024 [4].