Tricolor(SH:603516) Zheng Quan Zhi Xing·2025-08-15 16:35Core Viewpoint - The stock of Beijing Chunzhong Technology Co., Ltd. has experienced significant abnormal fluctuations, with a cumulative increase of 211.35% from July 11, 2025, to August 15, 2025, despite no major changes in the company's fundamentals [2][3][6] Stock Trading Abnormal Fluctuation - The company's stock price has deviated significantly, triggering three instances of abnormal trading conditions since July 29, 2025, and a severe abnormal fluctuation on August 14, 2025 [2][3] - The stock's actual volatility, excluding market and sector factors, indicates excessive market sentiment, suggesting potential irrational speculation and high trading risks [2][3] Valuation Risks - As of August 15, 2025, the company's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 358.54, significantly higher than the industry average of 44.92, and the price-to-book (P/B) ratio is 16.94 compared to the industry average of 4.06 [2][6] - The closing price of the stock on August 15, 2025, was 115.17 CNY per share, marking a historical high and indicating that the stock is overvalued relative to peers [2][6] Operating Loss Risks - The company anticipates a net loss of between 41 million CNY and 38.4 million CNY for the first half of 2025, with a projected revenue decline of approximately 45% year-on-year [3][6] - The traditional audiovisual business has not met expectations, with a decline in new orders compared to the previous year, and cash flow from operating activities has turned negative [3][6] Business Operations and Major Events - The company has confirmed that its production and operations are normal, with no significant changes in its main business or market environment [3][4] - There are no undisclosed major events or information that could impact the stock price, including asset restructuring or significant partnerships [4][5] Market Sentiment and Business Focus - The company has noted increased market interest in the liquid cooling server sector; however, it does not engage in the production of liquid cooling servers, only participating in testing platforms [5] - The liquid cooling business has not generated revenue in the first half of 2025, and there are significant uncertainties regarding future collaborations due to client product iterations and testing requirements [5]