兴业证券：A股市场新高，各类资金动向如何？

Group 1: Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index reached a new high not seen in nearly four years, surpassing the intraday peak from September 24 of last year, with the total trading volume of the A-shares exceeding 2 trillion yuan for three consecutive trading days, indicating a sustained increase in market sentiment [1] - High-risk preference funds, represented by margin trading, continued to flow into the market, while public funds and foreign capital showed marginal improvements, with the issuance of public equity funds increasing [1][2] - Northbound capital's share of total A-share trading volume also saw a marginal increase this week [1] Group 2: Public Funds - The issuance scale of actively managed equity funds remained stable compared to the previous week, with a marginal increase in the proportion of new equity fund issuances [2] - Since March of this year, the issuance scale of equity funds (both active and passive) has risen to over 40%, indicating a potential for further recovery in new equity fund issuances as market profitability improves [2] Group 3: ETFs - This week, ETFs experienced significant net outflows, particularly in the Sci-Tech 50/100 and TMT industry theme ETFs, while broad-based ETFs like CSI 300 and CSI A500 showed marginal improvements [7][9] - The net outflow from ETFs amounted to 23.1 billion yuan this week [9] - The net inflow of industry-themed ETFs has become an important marginal increment in the market since July, but this week saw significant profit-taking in the Sci-Tech 50/100 index ETFs and TMT-related industry theme ETFs [7] Group 4: Margin Trading - Margin trading balance increased by 45.7 billion yuan this week, indicating a continued inflow of leveraged funds [15][17] - Since the end of June, leveraged funds have maintained a weekly net inflow of around 30 billion yuan, contributing significantly to the recent market breakout [15] - The technology growth sector remains a preferred direction for margin trading funds, with notable inflows in sectors such as electronics, machinery, pharmaceuticals, and communications [15] Group 5: Foreign Capital - Foreign capital's interest in Chinese assets has been increasing, with the proportion of northbound capital in total A-share trading continuing to rise [19] - According to EPFR data, foreign capital, primarily passive funds, has been steadily increasing its allocation to A-shares [19] Group 6: Southbound Capital - Southbound capital continued to see net inflows, with a net inflow of 34.9 billion yuan this week [23] - Major stocks attracting southbound capital included China Life, Tencent, and BYD Electronics, while stocks like Kuaishou and Anta Sports saw net outflows [23] Group 7: Financing and Capital Raising - The scale of IPOs and refinancing this week was 1.7 billion yuan, showing a decrease compared to the previous week [26] - Despite an increase in IPOs and refinancing in July, financing demand has dropped to a low level since August, indicating that the market remains reliant on incremental capital to drive activity [26] - The net reduction in industrial capital this week was 7.4 billion yuan, remaining stable compared to the previous week [26]