This Growth Stock Is Up 100% in the Last Year, but Still Down 15% From All-Time Highs: Should You Buy Today?

Core Viewpoint - Shopify is experiencing a recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic bubble, with stock performance showing a significant increase over the past year but still below all-time highs [2][6][16] Company Performance - Shopify's stock is down 15% from its all-time highs during the pandemic, but it has increased over 100% in the last 12 months [2] - The company reported a 31% year-over-year revenue growth in the last quarter, with strong growth expected for the remainder of the year [6] - Profit margins remain robust, with free cash flow margins at 16% for the quarter, contributing to the stock's rise [6] Market Expansion - Shopify is expanding its international presence, having dominated the North American market [4] - The European division saw a 42% growth in payment volume last quarter, indicating strong international demand [5] Product Innovation - Shopify is continuously adding new commerce tools and features, such as advertising and the Shop Pay application, which are expected to drive future growth [7] - The introduction of AI services like Sidekick and Magic aims to enhance customer engagement and retention within the Shopify ecosystem [9] Payment Solutions - Shopify is expanding its payment options to include stablecoins like USDC, facilitating cross-border transactions and enhancing the shopping experience [10] Future Projections - Revenue growth is projected to exceed 20% for the rest of 2025, with total revenue reaching $10 billion over the last 12 months [13] - If Shopify maintains an average growth rate of 15% over the next five years, revenue could reach $20 billion by 2030, with potential net earnings of $4 billion annually [15] Valuation Concerns - Shopify's current market cap stands at $187 billion, leading to a forward P/E ratio of 47 based on projected earnings growth, suggesting caution for potential investors [16]